NOTE: SUNDAY I'LL HAVE ANOTHER COLUMN DEVOTED TO POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS IN PENNSYLVANIA. On Saturday, I have a column on my other sites (http://camp2008victorya.blogspot.com or http://stevemaloneygop.blogspot.com) that deal with Barack Obama's tendency in his books to stereotype white people, especially the grandparents who brought him up. I hope you'll visit!)
In a sign of just how divisive and ugly the Democratic fight has gotten, only 53% of Clinton voters say they'll vote for Obama should he become the nominee. Nineteen percent say they'll go for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and 13% say they won't vote.
Sixty percent of Obama voters say they'll go for Clinton should she win the nomination, with 20% opting for McCain, and three percent saying they won't vote.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/03/keystone-democr.html
ABC News’ Political Punch Blog: Keystone Democrats Set To Defect
By Jake Tapper
In the new Franklin & Marshall College Poll (read it HERE) some good news for Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, and some troubling news for Democrats.
[In PA] Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, 51% to 35% -- increasing her lead from February, when she was up 44% to 37%. She leads among young voters, wealthier voters...voters in virtually every demographic group, with the exceptions of Philly voters and non-whites.
In a sign of just how divisive and ugly the Democratic fight has gotten, only 53% of Clinton voters say they'll vote for Obama should he become the nominee. Nineteen percent say they'll go for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and 13% say they won't vote.
Sixty percent of Obama voters say they'll go for Clinton should she win the nomination, with 20% opting for McCain, and three percent saying they won't vote.
Grim.
Note to Visitors: If you want to get up-to-the-minute information from the McCain Campaign, please contact Patrick Hynes at: phynes@calypsocom.com. He supplied the above material.
Steve says: One of the better developments online is Col. O. P. Ditch's Vets4McCain. I hope every veteran and active duty military man or woman will go there to register their support for John McCain.
There are 25 million veterans in the U.S., the vast majority of whom vote (and all of them have families and friends). I hope at least one permanent staff member for McCain works specifically on veterans and active military of African descent.
Right now, it looks as if McCain might get as much as 15% of the Black vote nationally (as compared to the Republicans' usual 8%). If he can get 15%, he will win by a big margin in Ohio, PA, and NJ, the states I'm focusing on. McCain has a chance to win nearly every county in PA, with the exception of Philadelphia and Allegheny (Pittsburgh). But to prevail, he has to cut into the usual huge Black majorities for Democrats in Philly and Pittsburgh. There are strong indications he can do just that.
In 2004, George W. Bush had a narrow loss (51% to 48%) in Pennsylvania. It looks as if McCain, with his strong backing among Independents, will do much better. Also, as the Franklin & Marshall College poll demonstrates, McCain should pick up strong support among PA's moderate to conservative Democrats.
Nearly half of Hillary Clinton's supporters -- and she will win the Pennsylvania Primary by a big margin -- may vote for McCain. That's extremely bad news for the presumptive Democratic nominee: Barack Obama.
Clearly, the anti-American and racist comments by Obama's vulgar "spiritual advisor," Rev. Jeremiah Wright are hurting the Senator among voters. Since Wright is an egomaniac, don't look for him to go away (or shut up) -- and look for Obama's troubles to multiply.
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2 comments:
It's too early to judge these things now. However, I do agree that Obama has a huge problem with losing Democratic voters. He's attracted a rich and educated group of people - not typical Democratic voters. McCain appeals to the Democrats Obama doesn't appeal to, and they're likely to turn Republican in '08.
KW: I agree that many things will happen between now and the election. I hope you'll take a look at my column on another site (http://camp2008victorya.blogspot.com) about the sharp differences between Obama's "post-racial" speeches and his extremely racial comments in his books: Dreams of My Father and The Audacity of Hope. People, especially the Dems you mention, keep asking "Who exactly is Barack Obama?", and it's not an easy question to answer. His media cheerleaders will keep waving their pom-poms but more and more voters are very uneasy with the guy. They've basically stuck his wife in the attic, so we won't find out much about her either.
Anyway, thanks for visiting. I'll return the favor.
steve maloney
ambridge, pa
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